Bulls, Bears and Bottoms

Bull market, bear market, testing the bottom—you’ve probably been hearing these terms and more lately. The S&P 500 has been quite volatile—falling 37% from record highs in late February to bottoming out on March 23rd. The Dow Jones and Nasdaq fell similar amounts leading to the most dramatic bear market in history.
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2018 Market Review

After logging strong returns in 2017, global equity markets delivered negative returns in US dollar terms in 2018. Common news stories in 2018 included reports on global economic growth, corporate earnings, record low unemployment in the US, the implementation of Brexit, US trade wars with China and other countries, and a flattening US Treasury yield curve. Global equity markets delivered positive returns through September, followed by a decline in the fourth quarter, resulting in a –4.4% return for the S&P 500 and –9.4% for the MSCI All Country World Index for the year.

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2017 Market Review

At the beginning of 2017, a common view among money managers and analysts was that the financial markets would not repeat their strong returns from 2016. Many cited the uncertain global economy, political turmoil in the US, implementation of Brexit, conflicts in the Middle East, North Korea’s weapons buildup, and other factors. The global equity markets defied their predications, with major equity indices in the US, developed ex-US, and emerging markets posting strong returns for the year...

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